274: The Third Intifada? Intelligence Failures, Stress Tests, and Judicial Reform Behind the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
The "Al-Aqsa Storm" operation recently launched by Hamas caused massive casualties and brought the Israeli-Palestinian conflict back into the international community's field of vision. Many analysts believe this could become the third "Intifada" (انتفاضة, Palestinian Uprising), and might even trigger the Sixth Middle East War. So why did the legendary Israeli intelligence agency, Mossad, fail to issue an advance warning? With continuous rocket attacks from the front and soccer-playing teammates smuggling weapons from the rear, under Hamas's constant "stress tests," Israel finally showed its vulnerabilities. Meanwhile, fortresses are most easily breached from within; Netanyahu's judicial reform this year has plunged Israel into unprecedented division. Looking back at history, what frictions exist between the Likud party and other center-right parties in Israeli politics? How does the Arab world currently view the Israeli-Palestinian conflict? Which two countries suffered the greatest losses from the normalization of relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia? Please listen to this week's insightful sharing by Liu Yi and Sha Qingqing.
Original Chinese title & description
274 第三次大起义？巴以冲突背后的情报失灵、压力测试与司法改革
哈马斯近日发动的“阿克萨风暴”行动，造成了大规模人员伤亡，也让巴以冲突重新回到了国际社会的视野中。许多分析认为这可能成为第三次“因提法达”（انتفاضة，巴勒斯坦大起义），甚至可能引发第六次中东战争。那么“传说中的”以色列情报机构摩萨德为什么没有提前做出警告？前有持续不断的火箭弹袭击，后有走私武器的足球队友，在哈马斯不断的“压力测试”下，以色列终于露出了破绽。与此同时，堡垒最容易从内部被攻破，今年内塔尼亚胡的司法改革让以色列陷入了前所未有的分裂。回顾历史，以色列政坛的利库德集团和其他中右翼政党都存在哪些摩擦？阿拉伯世界如今怎样看待巴以冲突？以色列和沙特关系正常化，哪两个国家的损失最大？请听刘怡与沙青青本周的精彩分享。
Participation credit “本期话题成员”：沙青青（微信公众号：13号埋立地）。
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